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Predictions and Divas

October 27, 2020 by Simon Robinson Leave a Comment

It’s nearly the end of October and Ireland is back in lockdown. Our 14 day averaged national infection rate has risen to over 300. Our island is divided and the north of the island is reported within the UK national rate which is over 400. But the daily rate of infection (per head) north of the border has been four times higher than that to the south. So I guess the contrast across that border should be a source of concern for health professionals. Yet, the island politics of peace agreements and an imminent divorce has implications for border patrols and isolationist if not exclusionist travel policies.

The global inconsistencies of healthcare reporting make it really hard for the lay observer to know what is happening both locally and at large. You’d have thought the opposite would be true after eight months of ‘concerted’ effort.

It didn’t look like this in 1849.
[Read more…] about Predictions and Divas

Filed Under: Anchoritism, Fake Memoir Tagged With: daniel kahneman, geophysics, nobel prize, pandemic, robert mallet

Dream

May 1, 2020 by Simon Robinson 3 Comments

I had a couple of vivid dreams last night. Both of the dreams involved impossible workplace situations that sent me back in time to places that never existed. Some weird connections came to me as I awoke, those dream sequences having been extraordinarily real. I’d had enough of swimming in darkened crypts. Say no more.

[Read more…] about Dream

Filed Under: Anchoritism, Fake Memoir Tagged With: 3-sigma, bbc, booklink, ci lewis, clowns, dreams, dyno-nobel, earthquake, explosives, geophysics, julien meunier, jw de courcy, machine learning, mark henwick, monty python, nobel prize, pavillion cinema, popular, robert mallet, sahara, seg, seismic

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